Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 40.135684 45.731102 51.856704 59.065594 67.324220 76.498052 87.472931
2024-12-15 35.376822 43.479244 53.065695 65.267208 80.418326 98.658310 122.351539
2024-12-22 30.832595 40.590449 52.981215 69.926549 92.590564 121.987928 163.225770
2024-12-29 27.796685 39.043308 54.311341 76.668150 108.771012 153.507470 221.111799
2025-01-05 24.313281 36.285596 53.590400 80.617969 122.133450 184.082543 284.632936
2025-01-12 20.567909 32.478722 50.731952 81.020051 130.596811 209.529656 346.683083
2025-01-19 17.704664 29.485885 48.567017 82.103607 140.431116 239.253348 422.638004
2025-01-26 16.012461 28.068716 48.664665 86.939032 157.556217 284.700005 536.406440
2025-02-02 14.687382 27.032851 49.224251 92.729408 177.697580 339.951439 682.038837
2025-02-09 13.104599 25.241509 48.120501 95.282704 192.467296 388.676059 827.891772
2025-02-16 11.360340 22.823619 45.408662 94.197151 199.910562 424.810141 957.578698
2025-02-23 9.911888 20.725190 42.942509 93.128985 207.226327 462.485458 1101.154654
2025-03-02 8.776429 19.107636 41.256463 93.614639 218.638129 513.142244 1292.694403
2025-03-09 7.913800 17.920326 40.281044 95.544737 234.025181 577.242845 1537.883907
2025-03-16 7.075607 16.632155 38.847153 96.135899 246.486834 637.820605 1793.901765
2025-03-23 6.565794 16.017607 38.870049 100.361966 269.407935 731.628005 2173.776453
2025-03-30 5.945872 15.017728 37.774354 101.505716 284.547338 808.940835 2532.322216
2025-04-06 5.229809 13.639635 35.466931 98.907208 288.695247 856.650487 2816.480642
2025-04-13 4.680943 12.595371 33.831149 97.835024 297.126089 919.681874 3174.046763
2025-04-20 4.390589 12.197563 33.870880 101.678781 321.709099 1040.268640 3775.962915
2025-04-27 4.171210 11.957741 34.311731 106.877503 352.174990 1189.418679 4540.497750
2025-05-04 3.856072 11.381045 33.668147 108.548048 371.532035 1307.098785 5232.386942
2025-05-11 3.463478 10.499371 31.943918 106.314700 376.909941 1377.251753 5762.566662